{"id":887613,"date":"2019-07-08T19:52:29","date_gmt":"2019-07-08T17:52:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/martingale-stavkovy-system-psychologicky-sebaoklam"},"modified":"2025-04-28T23:29:18","modified_gmt":"2025-04-28T21:29:18","slug":"martingale-stavkovy-system-psychologicky-sebaoklam","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/sk\/martingale-stavovy-system-psychologicky-saviapgaule","title":{"rendered":"Martingale st\u00e1vkov\u00fd syst\u00e9m &#8211; psychologick\u00fd sebaoklam"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-758019 size-full\" title=\"Martingale st\u00e1vkov\u00fd syst\u00e9m\" src=\"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/app\/uploads\/2019\/06\/word-image-1.jpeg\" alt=\"Martingale st\u00e1vkov\u00fd syst\u00e9m\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" srcset=\"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/app\/uploads\/2019\/06\/word-image-1.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/app\/uploads\/2019\/06\/word-image-1-300x200.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/app\/uploads\/2019\/06\/word-image-1-768px-512px.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/app\/uploads\/2019\/06\/word-image-1-180px-120px.jpeg 180w, https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/app\/uploads\/2019\/06\/word-image-1-700px-466px.jpeg 700w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>Martingale je pravdepodobne najzn\u00e1mej\u0161\u00ed kas\u00ednov\u00fd a st\u00e1vkov\u00fd syst\u00e9m, ktor\u00fd je \u010dasto prezentovan\u00fd ako sp\u00f4sob \u201ezarobi\u0165 na rulete\u201c. Princ\u00edp tohto syst\u00e9mu je pomerne jednoduch\u00fd \u2013 vyberie sa po\u010diato\u010dn\u00e1 ve\u013ekos\u0165 st\u00e1vky, ktor\u00e1 sa v pr\u00edpade prehry zdvojn\u00e1sob\u00ed s cie\u013eom z\u00edska\u0165 sp\u00e4\u0165 straten\u00e9 peniaze a trochu zarobi\u0165.<\/p>\n<p>Hist\u00f3ria vzniku Martingale je nejasn\u00e1 a obklopen\u00e1 f\u00e1mami, ale pravdepodobne vznikla u\u017e v 18. storo\u010d\u00ed, ke\u010f sa hazardovalo jednoducho h\u00e1dzan\u00edm mince. Z\u00e1klady vznikli, ke\u010f hr\u00e1\u010di vymysleli syst\u00e9m zdvojn\u00e1sobovania s\u00fam, preto\u017ee \u0161ance na v\u00fdhru s\u00fa 50%. Zdvojn\u00e1soben\u00edm sumy od vybranej st\u00e1vky by hr\u00e1\u010di z\u00edskali sp\u00e4\u0165 v\u0161etky prehry, vr\u00e1tili po\u010diato\u010dn\u00fa sumu a zarobili sumu poslednej st\u00e1vky:<\/p>\n<table style=\"border-style: solid\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>St\u00e1vky<\/td>\n<td>V\u00fdhra<\/td>\n<td>Zisk<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u20ac1<\/td>\n<td>X<\/td>\n<td>-\u20ac1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u20ac2<\/td>\n<td>X<\/td>\n<td>-\u20ac3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u20ac4<\/td>\n<td>V<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Martingale syst\u00e9m sa stal najpopul\u00e1rnej\u0161\u00edm st\u00e1vkov\u00fdm syst\u00e9mom na svete kv\u00f4li jeho jednoduchosti a intuit\u00edvnej efekt\u00edvnosti. Teraz sa naj\u010dastej\u0161ie pou\u017e\u00edva pri <a href=\"\/sk\/kazino-internetu\">hran\u00ed v kas\u00edne<\/a> s cie\u013eom zarobi\u0165 na rulete. Pri rulete sa zvy\u010dajne st\u00e1vkuje na \u010derven\u00fa alebo \u010diernu farbu pou\u017eit\u00edm toho ist\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu, aj ke\u010f pravdepodobnos\u0165 v\u00fdhry je ni\u017e\u0161ia &#8211; 48,6% alebo 47,4% (v Eur\u00f3pskej a Americkej rulete). Bohu\u017eia\u013e, Martingale, rovnako ako v\u0161etky st\u00e1vkov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my na rulete, je matematicky nepodlo\u017een\u00fd a nefunk\u010dn\u00fd. Jeho probl\u00e9my m\u00f4\u017eeme rozdeli\u0165 na nieko\u013eko \u2013 praktick\u00e9, psychologick\u00e9 a teoretick\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Tu je kr\u00e1tke video v angli\u010dtine, ktor\u00e9 diskutuje tieto probl\u00e9my:<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"The Truth About The Martingale Betting System for Roulette | CasinoTop10\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/U29SK0YdYTI?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_76 ez-toc-wrap-left counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-light-blue ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of contents sv<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #000000;color:#000000\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #000000;color:#000000\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/sk\/martingale-stavovy-system-psychologicky-saviapgaule\/#Prakticke_problemy_Martingale\" >Praktick\u00e9 probl\u00e9my Martingale<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/sk\/martingale-stavovy-system-psychologicky-saviapgaule\/#Psychologicke_a_matematicke_problemy_Martingale\" >Psychologick\u00e9 a matematick\u00e9 probl\u00e9my Martingale<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/sk\/martingale-stavovy-system-psychologicky-saviapgaule\/#TOP_spolocnosti_pre_stavkovanie\" >TOP spolo\u010dnosti pre st\u00e1vkovanie<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Prakticke_problemy_Martingale\"><\/span>Praktick\u00e9 probl\u00e9my Martingale<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Martingale syst\u00e9m sa zaklad\u00e1 na zvy\u0161ovan\u00ed mno\u017estva st\u00e1vok po ka\u017edej prehre. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee n\u00e1rast sumy st\u00e1vky je exponenci\u00e1lny alebo, jednoducho povedan\u00e9, rastie ve\u013emi r\u00fdchlo. Aj ke\u010f za\u010dnete s ve\u013emi malou sumou (napr\u00edklad 1 euro), r\u00fdchlo m\u00f4\u017eete dosiahnu\u0165 pr\u00edli\u0161 ve\u013ek\u00fa sumu pre hr\u00e1\u010da (alebo prekro\u010di\u0165 maxim\u00e1lnu st\u00e1vku kas\u00edna). Ak za\u010dnete s po\u010diato\u010dnou st\u00e1vkou 2 eur\u00e1 a prehr\u00e1te 8-kr\u00e1t za sebou, \u010fal\u0161ia st\u00e1vka by dosiahla 512 eur.<\/p>\n<p>M\u00f4\u017ee sa zda\u0165, \u017ee prehra\u0165 to\u013ekokr\u00e1t za sebou na rulete je takmer nemo\u017en\u00e9, ale matematicky je to inak, preto\u017ee predch\u00e1dzaj\u00face v\u00fdhry alebo prehry nemaj\u00fa \u017eiadny vplyv na bud\u00face v\u00fdsledky.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Psychologicke_a_matematicke_problemy_Martingale\"><\/span>Psychologick\u00e9 a matematick\u00e9 probl\u00e9my Martingale<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Mnoh\u00fdm hr\u00e1\u010dom sa zd\u00e1, \u017ee ak na rulete nieko\u013ekokr\u00e1t za sebou padla \u010derven\u00e1 farba, pravdepodobnos\u0165, \u017ee nabud\u00face padne \u010dierna, je vy\u0161\u0161ia. Tak\u00e9to myslenie sa naz\u00fdva hr\u00e1\u010dova chyba (angl. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fallacyfiles.org\/gamblers.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><i>gambler\u2018s fallacy<\/i><\/a>), ktor\u00e1 vznik\u00e1 z nespr\u00e1vneho pochopenia z\u00e1kona ve\u013ek\u00fdch \u010d\u00edsel (angl. <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Law_of_large_numbers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><i>law of large numbers<\/i><\/a>).<\/p>\n<p>Jedn\u00fdm z hlavn\u00fdch tvrden\u00ed te\u00f3rie pravdepodobnosti je defin\u00edcia nez\u00e1visl\u00fdch udalost\u00ed. Dve nez\u00e1visl\u00e9 udalosti s\u00fa tak\u00e9, ak v\u00fdsledok jednej z nich nijako neovplyv\u0148uje pravdepodobnosti druhej udalosti. Naj\u010dastej\u0161\u00edm pr\u00edkladom je h\u00e1dzanie tej istej mince dvakr\u00e1t. Ak prv\u00fdkr\u00e1t padne \u010d\u00edslo, pravdepodobnos\u0165, \u017ee nabud\u00face padne \u010d\u00edslo, zost\u00e1va rovnak\u00e1 &#8211; \u00bd. Nez\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed na tom, ko\u013eko je nez\u00e1visl\u00fdch udalost\u00ed a ak\u00e9 s\u00fa v\u00fdsledky, pravdepodobnosti sa nikdy nemenia. Myslenie, \u017ee po N mno\u017estve \u0161pecifick\u00fdch v\u00fdsledkov sa pravdepodobnos\u0165 men\u00ed, je hr\u00e1\u010dova chyba.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-760523 alignleft\" title=\"Martingale syst\u00e9m\" src=\"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/app\/uploads\/2019\/07\/Martingale-syst%C3%A9m.jpg\" alt=\"Martingale syst\u00e9m\" width=\"400\" height=\"228\"><\/p>\n<p>Hr\u00e1\u010dova chyba vznik\u00e1 zo z\u00e1kona ve\u013ek\u00fdch \u010d\u00edsel. Pri h\u00e1dzan\u00ed mince o\u010dak\u00e1vame, \u017ee po\u010das dostato\u010dne dlh\u00e9ho \u010dasu sa po\u010det padnut\u00ed hlavy a \u010d\u00edsla rozdel\u00ed bl\u00edzko 50 percent. Toto rozdelenie sa teoreticky stane len pri po\u010dte hodov bl\u00ed\u017eiacom sa k nekone\u010dnu. Pri 10 000 alebo 100 000 hodoch m\u00f4\u017ee minca padn\u00fa\u0165 akoko\u013evek, ak\u00fdmko\u013evek rozdelen\u00edm. Je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee bud\u00fa momenty, ke\u010f hlava padne 10, 15 alebo 30-kr\u00e1t za sebou, ale po t\u00fdchto hodoch sa pravdepodobnos\u0165 padnutia hlavy ani \u010d\u00edsla nezmen\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>To ist\u00e9 m\u00f4\u017eeme aplikova\u0165 na hru rulety. Aj ke\u010f 10-kr\u00e1t za sebou padla \u010derven\u00e1, pravdepodobnos\u0165 \u010dervenej farby zost\u00e1va rovnak\u00e1 ako v\u017edy. Jednoducho povedan\u00e9, to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee hr\u00e1\u010d nem\u00f4\u017ee nijako ovplyvni\u0165 a nijako nem\u00f4\u017ee prehra\u0165 pravdepodobnosti rulety. Nez\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed na tom, ak\u00fd st\u00e1vkov\u00fd syst\u00e9m sa vyberie, hr\u00e1\u010d v\u017edy prehr\u00e1va, preto\u017ee pravdepodobnosti, ktor\u00e9 s\u00fa naklonen\u00e9 v prospech kas\u00edna, sa nemenia. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee zvy\u0161ovan\u00edm s\u00fam st\u00e1vok by sme mali o\u010dak\u00e1va\u0165 len v\u00e4\u010d\u0161ie prehry v dlhodobom horizonte.<\/p>\n<p>Viac tipov n\u00e1jdete <a href=\"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/lazybu-patarimai\">tu<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"TOP_spolocnosti_pre_stavkovanie\"><\/span>TOP spolo\u010dnosti pre st\u00e1vkovanie<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<div class='widget-card placeholder--card'\n     data-source-gql='https:\/\/guru-back.refactoring.dev.gggroup.media\/graphql\/affiliates'\n     data-source-widgetjs='https:\/\/staging--widget-affprojects.netlify.app\/widget.js'\n     data-shortcode='widget-card'\n     data-shortcode-text='[top-bookmakers-for-post]'\n     data-props='{\n\"show_more_button\":true,\n\"show_more_button_text\":\"Show More Bookmakers\",\n\"show_more_text\":false,\n\"show_less_text\":false,\n\"vpn_notification\":true,\n\"show_more_items_amount\":null,\n\"scrollable\":\"always\",\n\"violet_bonus_text\":true,\n\"ab_testing_show_more_button_rework\":true\n}'\n     data-queries='{\n\"type\":\"TOP-Betting\",\n\"limit\":10,\n\"mobile_limit\":10,\n\"show_new\":1,\n\"button_text_type\":\"TOP\",\n\"language\":\"sk\",\n\"project\":\"PM\",\n\"page\":1\n}'\n     ><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Martingale je pravdepodobne najzn\u00e1mej\u0161\u00ed kas\u00ednov\u00fd a st\u00e1vkov\u00fd syst\u00e9m, ktor\u00fd je&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4481,"featured_media":758019,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7109,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-887613","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stavkove-tipy","category-uncategorized-lt"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/887613","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4481"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=887613"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/887613\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1093731,"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/887613\/revisions\/1093731"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/758019"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=887613"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=887613"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=887613"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}