{"id":876248,"date":"2018-02-28T12:15:20","date_gmt":"2018-02-28T10:15:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/zvejnieka-izaicinajuma-prognozes-kadas-ir-top-profesionalu-izredzes-uzvaret"},"modified":"2025-04-28T23:40:13","modified_gmt":"2025-04-28T21:40:13","slug":"zvejnieka-izaicinajuma-prognozes-kadas-ir-top-profesionalu-izredzes-uzvaret","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/zvers-issukio-sanaksmes","title":{"rendered":"Zvejnieka izaicin\u0101juma prognozes – k\u0101das ir TOP profesion\u0101\u013cu izredzes uzvar\u0113t?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

\u0160io trumpo straipsnio tikslas \u2013 paskai\u010diuoti, meg\u0117ji\u0161kai, tikimybes kokie \u017eaid\u0117jai turi did\u017eiausias galimybes pagriebti auk\u0161\u010diausi\u0105 priz\u0105 \u0161i\u0173 met\u0173 \u017dvejo i\u0161\u0161\u016bkio turnyre. \u017dinoma, kaip ir bet kuriame bandyme nusp\u0117ti ateit\u012f naudojant praeities duomenis, netikslumai atsiranda jau vien d\u0117l \u0161io fakto.<\/p>\n

Pa\u017eym\u0117tina, jog \u0161ios tikimyb\u0117s n\u0117ra ir visi\u0161kai matemati\u0161kai tikslios. Formul\u0117 skirta skai\u010diavimui yra \u0161itokia: geriausi\u0173 20 \u017eaid\u0117j\u0173 duomenys surinkti i\u0161 Hendon Mob duomen\u0173 baz\u0117s, i\u0161vestas \u201eGlobal Poker Index Ranking\u201c vidurkis. \u0160is vidurkis dalijamas i\u0161 kiekvieno \u017eaid\u0117jo reitingo. Tuomet kiekvienam \u017eaid\u0117jui skiriami papildomai ta\u0161kai jei bet kuriame i\u0161 anks\u010diau vykusi\u0173 \u017dvejo i\u0161\u0161\u016bkio turnyr\u0173 pavyko pasiekti prizin\u0119 viet\u0105 pagal formul\u0119 (X-(N-1)\/10), kur X \u2013 prizini\u0173 viet\u0173 skai\u010dius, N \u2013 u\u017eimta vieta. Pavyzd\u017eiui, u\u017e\u0117mus pirm\u0105j\u0105 ir esant 35 prizin\u0117ms vietoms, papildomai skiriami 3,5 ta\u0161kai.<\/p>\n

Papildomi ta\u0161kai skiriami siekiant i\u0161lyginti skirtumus tarp \u017eaid\u0117j\u0173, kuri\u0173 \u201eGlobal Poker Index Ranking\u201c yra \u017eemas, ta\u010diau \u017dvejo i\u0161\u0161\u016bkio turnyruose rodomi pastov\u016bs ir geri rezultatai. \u017dinoma, visi\u0161kai tiksliai atspind\u0117ti realyb\u0117s tokie skai\u010diavimai negali, kadangi ne\u012fmanoma surinkti absoliu\u010diai vis\u0173 duomen\u0173 apie \u017eaid\u0117jus ir sukurti tinkamus matematinius \u012frankius \u0161iems apdoroti. \u012e pateiktus \u017eemiau duomenis reik\u0117t\u0173 \u017evelgti kaip \u012f lyginim\u0105 vien\u0173 su kitais ar kaip \u012f tikimybes \u201eprie 1\u201c.<\/p>\n

O \u017eaid\u0117jai buvo atrinkti pagal u\u017eimtas prizines vietas ankstesniuose \u017dvejo i\u0161\u0161\u016bkio turnyruose ir pagal aktyvum\u0105 gyvo pokerio turnyruose pastaruoju metu.<\/p>\n

Betsafe \u017dvejo i\u0161\u0161\u016bkis prasideda jau \u0161\u012f ketvirtadien\u012f Olympic Casino Pokerio Klube Vilniuje. Tai did\u017eiausia ir pelningiausia pokerio turnyr\u0173 serija Lietuvoje. Daugiau info – spauskite \u010dia<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/colgroup>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

Tomas Jozonis*<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

96,98<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Algirdas Saveikis<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

14,04<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Aleksandras Voi\u0161nis<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

13,49<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Dominykas Mikolaitis<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,72<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Aleksandras Rusinovas<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11,14<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Markas Kurliancikas<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

7,52<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Agnius Ismailovas<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5,87<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Povilas Jakutis<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4,63<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Gytis La\u017eauninkas<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,74<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Andrius Bielskis<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,51<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Aivaras Keru\u0161<\/span>auskas<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,35<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Robertas \u017d<\/span>ebrauskis<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,05<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Gytis Bernatavi\u010d<\/span>ius<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3,04<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Justas Sema\u0161ka<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,33<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Vygerdas Jonikas<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,33<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Andrius Kaziukonis<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2,27<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Boris Smu\u0161kevi\u010d<\/span>ius<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,85<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Vytautas \u0160<\/span>pakauskas<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,79<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Liutauras Armanavi\u010d<\/span>ius<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1,67<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Karolina Daug\u0117lait\u0117<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0,65<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Ri\u010d<\/span>ardas Vymeris<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0,52<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

R\u016b<\/span>ta Ismailova<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0,34<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Aist\u0117<\/span> Pa\u0161kevi\u010d<\/span>i\u016b<\/span>t\u0117<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0,31<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

* Tomas Jozonis turi ne\u012ftik\u0117tinai didel\u0119 tikimyb\u0119 d\u0117l itin auk\u0161to \u201eGlobal Poker Index Ranking\u201c – 268. Kitas artimiausias \u017emogus \u0161iame turnyre, Aleksandras Voi\u0161nis, yra 2739-tas.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0160io trumpo straipsnio tikslas \u2013 paskai\u010diuoti, meg\u0117ji\u0161kai, tikimybes kokie \u017eaid\u0117jai…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4481,"featured_media":754357,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8289,6080,4643,4639,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-876248","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-haberler","category-jaunumi","category-kategorize-edilmemis-tr-tr","category-nekategorizets-lv-lv","category-uncategorized-lt"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/876248","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4481"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=876248"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/876248\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1095452,"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/876248\/revisions\/1095452"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/754357"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=876248"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=876248"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=876248"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}