{"id":874819,"date":"2019-07-08T19:52:29","date_gmt":"2019-07-08T17:52:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/martingeila-deribu-sistema-psihologiska-pasapmans"},"modified":"2025-04-28T23:29:18","modified_gmt":"2025-04-28T21:29:18","slug":"martingeila-deribu-sistema-psihologiska-pasapmans","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/martingala-statusa-sistema-psihologiskais-saviapgaule","title":{"rendered":"Martingeila der\u012bbu sist\u0113ma &#8211; psiholo\u0123isks pa\u0161apm\u0101ns"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-758019 size-full\" title=\"Martingeila der\u012bbu sist\u0113ma\" src=\"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/app\/uploads\/2019\/06\/word-image-1.jpeg\" alt=\"Martingeila der\u012bbu sist\u0113ma\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" srcset=\"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/app\/uploads\/2019\/06\/word-image-1.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/app\/uploads\/2019\/06\/word-image-1-300x200.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/app\/uploads\/2019\/06\/word-image-1-768px-512px.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/app\/uploads\/2019\/06\/word-image-1-180px-120px.jpeg 180w, https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/app\/uploads\/2019\/06\/word-image-1-700px-466px.jpeg 700w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>Martingeila ir, iesp\u0113jams, vislab\u0101k zin\u0101m\u0101 kazino un der\u012bbu sist\u0113ma, kas bie\u017ei tiek prezent\u0113ta k\u0101 veids, k\u0101 &#8220;nopeln\u012bt no ruletes&#8221;. \u0160\u012bs sist\u0113mas princips ir diezgan vienk\u0101r\u0161s \u2013 tiek izv\u0113l\u0113ts s\u0101kotn\u0113jais likmes lielums, kas zaud\u0113juma gad\u012bjum\u0101 tiek dubultots, lai atg\u016btu zaud\u0113to naudu un nedaudz nopeln\u012btu.<\/p>\n<p>Martingeila izcelsmes v\u0113sture ir neskaidra un apv\u012bta ar baum\u0101m, ta\u010du, visticam\u0101k, t\u0101 rad\u0101s jau XVIII gadsimt\u0101, kad tika sp\u0113l\u0113ts, vienk\u0101r\u0161i metot mon\u0113tu. S\u0101kotn\u0113ji t\u0101 rad\u0101s, kad sp\u0113l\u0113t\u0101ji izdom\u0101ja sist\u0113mu, k\u0101 dubultot summas, jo izredzes uzvar\u0113t ir 50%. Dubultojot summu no izv\u0113l\u0113t\u0101s likmes, sp\u0113l\u0113t\u0101ji atg\u016btu visus zaud\u0113jumus, atg\u016btu s\u0101kotn\u0113jo likmi un nopeln\u012btu p\u0113d\u0113j\u0101s likmes summu:<\/p>\n<table style=\"border-style: solid\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Likmes<\/td>\n<td>Uzvara<\/td>\n<td>Pe\u013c\u0146a<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u20ac1<\/td>\n<td>X<\/td>\n<td>-\u20ac1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u20ac2<\/td>\n<td>X<\/td>\n<td>-\u20ac3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u20ac4<\/td>\n<td>V<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Martingeila sist\u0113ma k\u013cuva par popul\u0101r\u0101ko der\u012bbu sist\u0113mu pasaul\u0113 t\u0101s vienk\u0101r\u0161\u012bbas un intuit\u012bv\u0101 efektivit\u0101tes d\u0113\u013c. Tagad t\u0101 visbie\u017e\u0101k tiek izmantota <a href=\"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/kazino-internetu\">sp\u0113l\u0113jot kazino<\/a>, lai nopeln\u012btu no ruletes. Rulet\u0113 parasti tiek likts uz sarkano vai melno kr\u0101su, izmantojot to pa\u0161u sist\u0113mu, lai gan izredzes uzvar\u0113t ir maz\u0101kas &#8211; 48,6% vai 47,4% (Eiropas un Amerikas rulet\u0113). Diem\u017e\u0113l Martingeila, t\u0101pat k\u0101 visas ruletes der\u012bbu sist\u0113mas, ir matem\u0101tiski nepamatota un nedarbojas. T\u0101s probl\u0113mas varam sadal\u012bt vair\u0101k\u0101s \u2013 praktisk\u0101s, psiholo\u0123isk\u0101s un teor\u0113tisk\u0101s.<\/p>\n<p>\u0160eit ir \u012bss video ang\u013cu valod\u0101, kas apsprie\u017e \u0161\u012bs probl\u0113mas:<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"The Truth About The Martingale Betting System for Roulette | CasinoTop10\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/U29SK0YdYTI?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_76 ez-toc-wrap-left counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-light-blue ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of contents lv<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #000000;color:#000000\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #000000;color:#000000\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/martingala-statusa-sistema-psihologiskais-saviapgaule\/#Praktiskas_Martingeila_problemas\" >Praktisk\u0101s Martingeila probl\u0113mas<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/martingala-statusa-sistema-psihologiskais-saviapgaule\/#Psihologiskas_un_matematiskas_Martingeila_problemas\" >Psiholo\u0123isk\u0101s un matem\u0101tisk\u0101s Martingeila probl\u0113mas<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/martingala-statusa-sistema-psihologiskais-saviapgaule\/#TOP_uznemumi_deribam\" >TOP uz\u0146\u0113mumi der\u012bb\u0101m<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Praktiskas_Martingeila_problemas\"><\/span>Praktisk\u0101s Martingeila probl\u0113mas<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Martingeila sist\u0113ma balst\u0101s uz likmju palielin\u0101\u0161anu p\u0113c katra zaud\u0113juma. Tas noz\u012bm\u0113, ka likmes summas pieaugums ir eksponenci\u0101ls vai, vienk\u0101r\u0161i sakot, pieaug \u013coti \u0101tri. Pat s\u0101kot ar \u013coti mazu summu (piem\u0113ram, 1 eiro), \u0101tri var tikt sasniegta p\u0101r\u0101k liela summa sp\u0113l\u0113t\u0101jam (vai p\u0101rsniedzot kazino maksim\u0101lo likmi). S\u0101kot ar 2 eiro s\u0101kotn\u0113jo likmi un zaud\u0113jot 8 reizes p\u0113c k\u0101rtas, n\u0101kam\u0101 likme b\u016btu 512 eiro.<\/p>\n<p>Var \u0161\u0137ist, ka zaud\u0113t tik daudz rei\u017eu p\u0113c k\u0101rtas rulet\u0113 ir gandr\u012bz neiesp\u0113jami, ta\u010du matem\u0101tiski viss ir cit\u0101di, jo iepriek\u0161\u0113jie laimesti vai zaud\u0113jumi neietekm\u0113 n\u0101kotnes rezult\u0101tus.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Psihologiskas_un_matematiskas_Martingeila_problemas\"><\/span>Psiholo\u0123isk\u0101s un matem\u0101tisk\u0101s Martingeila probl\u0113mas<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Daudziem sp\u0113l\u0113t\u0101jiem \u0161\u0137iet, ka, ja rulet\u0113 vair\u0101kas reizes p\u0113c k\u0101rtas ir izkritusi sarkan\u0101 kr\u0101sa, tad iesp\u0113ja, ka n\u0101kamreiz izkrit\u012bs meln\u0101, ir liel\u0101ka. \u0160\u0101da dom\u0101\u0161ana tiek saukta par sp\u0113l\u0113t\u0101ja k\u013c\u016bdu (angl. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fallacyfiles.org\/gamblers.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><i>gambler's fallacy<\/i><\/a>), kas rodas no nepareizas lielo skait\u013cu likuma izpratnes (angl. <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Law_of_large_numbers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><i>law of large numbers<\/i><\/a>).<\/p>\n<p>Viens no galvenajiem varb\u016bt\u012bbu teorijas apgalvojumiem ir neatkar\u012bgu notikumu defin\u012bcija. Divi neatkar\u012bgi notikumi ir t\u0101di, ja viena no tiem rezult\u0101ts nek\u0101d\u0101 veid\u0101 neietekm\u0113 otra notikuma varb\u016bt\u012bbas. Visbie\u017e\u0101kais piem\u0113rs ir t\u0101s pa\u0161as mon\u0113tas me\u0161ana divreiz. Ja pirmo reizi izkrita skaitlis, varb\u016bt\u012bba, ka n\u0101kamreiz b\u016bs skaitlis, paliek t\u0101da pati &#8211; \u00bd. Neatkar\u012bgi no t\u0101, cik ir neatkar\u012bgu notikumu un k\u0101di ir rezult\u0101ti, varb\u016bt\u012bbas nekad nemain\u0101s. Dom\u0101\u0161ana, ka p\u0113c N specifisku rezult\u0101tu skaita varb\u016bt\u012bba main\u0101s, ir sp\u0113l\u0113t\u0101ja k\u013c\u016bda.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-760523 alignleft\" title=\"Martingeila sist\u0113ma\" src=\"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/app\/uploads\/2019\/07\/Martingale-sist%C4%93ma.jpg\" alt=\"Martingeila sist\u0113ma\" width=\"400\" height=\"228\"><\/p>\n<p>Sp\u0113l\u0113t\u0101ja k\u013c\u016bda rodas no lielo skait\u013cu likuma. Metot mon\u0113tu, m\u0113s sagaid\u0101m, ka ilg\u0101k\u0101 laika posm\u0101 herba un skait\u013ca kritumi sadal\u012bsies tuvu 50 procentiem. \u0160is sadal\u012bjums teor\u0113tiski notiek tikai tad, kad metienu skaits tuvojas bezgal\u012bbai. 10 000 vai 100 000 metienu laik\u0101 mon\u0113ta var izkrist jebk\u0101d\u0101 veid\u0101, jebk\u0101d\u0101 sadal\u012bjum\u0101. Iesp\u0113jams, ka b\u016bs br\u012b\u017ei, kad herba izkrit\u012bs 10, 15 vai 30 reizes p\u0113c k\u0101rtas, bet p\u0113c \u0161\u012bm reiz\u0113m ne herba, ne skait\u013ca krituma varb\u016bt\u012bba nemain\u0101s.<\/p>\n<p>To pa\u0161u varam attiecin\u0101t uz ruletes sp\u0113li. Pat ja 10 reizes p\u0113c k\u0101rtas izkrita sarkan\u0101, varb\u016bt\u012bba sarkanajai kr\u0101sai paliek t\u0101da pati k\u0101 vienm\u0113r. Vienk\u0101r\u0161i sakot, tas noz\u012bm\u0113, ka sp\u0113l\u0113t\u0101js nevar ietekm\u0113t un nek\u0101d\u0101 veid\u0101 nevar p\u0101rsp\u0113t ruletes varb\u016bt\u012bbas. Neatkar\u012bgi no t\u0101, k\u0101da der\u012bbu sist\u0113ma tiek izv\u0113l\u0113ta, sp\u0113l\u0113t\u0101js vienm\u0113r zaud\u0113, jo varb\u016bt\u012bbas, kas ir par labu kazino, nemain\u0101s. Tas noz\u012bm\u0113, ka, palielinot likmju summas, mums vajadz\u0113tu sagaid\u012bt tikai liel\u0101kus zaud\u0113jumus ilgtermi\u0146\u0101.<\/p>\n<p>Vair\u0101k padomu <a href=\"https:\/\/pokeriomokykla.com\/lazybu-patarimai\">atrad\u012bsiet \u0161eit<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"TOP_uznemumi_deribam\"><\/span>TOP uz\u0146\u0113mumi der\u012bb\u0101m<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<div class='widget-card placeholder--card'\n     data-source-gql='https:\/\/guru-back.refactoring.dev.gggroup.media\/graphql\/affiliates'\n     data-source-widgetjs='https:\/\/staging--widget-affprojects.netlify.app\/widget.js'\n     data-shortcode='widget-card'\n     data-shortcode-text='[top-bookmakers-for-post]'\n     data-props='{\n\"show_more_button\":true,\n\"show_more_button_text\":\"Show More Bookmakers\",\n\"show_more_text\":false,\n\"show_less_text\":false,\n\"vpn_notification\":true,\n\"show_more_items_amount\":null,\n\"scrollable\":\"always\",\n\"violet_bonus_text\":true,\n\"ab_testing_show_more_button_rework\":true\n}'\n     data-queries='{\n\"type\":\"TOP-Betting\",\n\"limit\":10,\n\"mobile_limit\":10,\n\"show_new\":1,\n\"button_text_type\":\"TOP\",\n\"language\":\"lv\",\n\"project\":\"PM\",\n\"page\":1\n}'\n     ><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Martingeila ir, iesp\u0113jams, vislab\u0101k zin\u0101m\u0101 kazino un der\u012bbu sist\u0113ma, kas&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4481,"featured_media":758019,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8213,6474,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-874819","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bahis-ipuclari","category-deribu-padomi","category-uncategorized-lt"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/874819","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4481"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=874819"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/874819\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1099186,"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/874819\/revisions\/1099186"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/758019"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=874819"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=874819"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.pokeriomokykla.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=874819"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}